Finite-length analysis on tail probability for markov chain and application to simple hypothesis testing

Citation
Watanabe, Shun et Hayashi, Masahito, Finite-length analysis on tail probability for markov chain and application to simple hypothesis testing, Annals of applied probability , 27(2), 2017, pp. 811-845
ISSN journal
10505164
Volume
27
Issue
2
Year of publication
2017
Pages
811 - 845
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean for the Markov chain with finite state space. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the type-2 error under the exponential constraint for the error probability of the type-1 error in a simple hypothesis testing for a finite-length Markov chain, which yields the Hoeffding-type bound. For these derivations, we derive upper and lower bounds of cumulant generating function for Markov chain with finite state space. As a byproduct, we obtain another simple proof of central limit theorem for Markov chain with finite state space.