Model robustness of finite state nonlinear filtering over the infinite time horizon

Citation
Chigansky, Pavel et Handel, Ramon Van, Model robustness of finite state nonlinear filtering over the infinite time horizon, Annals of applied probability , 17(2), 2007, pp. 688-715
ISSN journal
10505164
Volume
17
Issue
2
Year of publication
2007
Pages
688 - 715
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter and that with incorrect model parameters converges to zero uniformly over the infinite time interval as the misspecified model converges to the true model, provided the signal obeys a mixing condition. The filtering error is controlled through the exponential decay of the derivative of the nonlinear filter with respect to its initial condition. We allow simultaneously for misspecification of the initial condition, of the transition rates of the signal, and of the observation function. The first two cases are treated by relatively elementary means, while the latter case requires the use of Skorokhod integrals and tools of anticipative stochastic calculus.