Modeling credit risk with partial information

Citation
Çetin, Umut et al., Modeling credit risk with partial information, Annals of applied probability , 14(3), 2004, pp. 1167-1178
ISSN journal
10505164
Volume
14
Issue
3
Year of publication
2004
Pages
1167 - 1178
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
This paper provides an alternative approach to Duffie and Lando [Econometrica 69 (2001) 633.664] for obtaining a reduced form credit risk model from a structural model. Duffie and Lando obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy where the market sees the manager.s information set plus noise. The noise makes default a surprise to the market. In contrast, we obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy where the market sees a reduction of the manager.s information set. The reduced information makes default a surprise to the market. We provide an explicit formula for the default intensity based on an Azéma martingale, and we use excursion theory of Brownian motions to price risky debt.