Inference for the tail index of a GARCH(1,1) model and an AR(1) model with ARCH(1) errors

Citation
Zhang, Rongmao et al., Inference for the tail index of a GARCH(1,1) model and an AR(1) model with ARCH(1) errors, Econometric reviews , 38(2), 2019, pp. 151-169
Journal title
ISSN journal
07474938
Volume
38
Issue
2
Year of publication
2019
Pages
151 - 169
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
For a GARCH(1,1) sequence or an AR(1) model with ARCH(1) errors, one can estimate the tail index by solving an estimating equation with unknown parameters replaced by the quasi maximum likelihood estimation, and a profile empirical likelihood method can be employed to effectively construct a confidence interval for the tail index. However, this requires that the errors of such a model have at least a finite fourth moment. In this article, we show that the finite fourth moment can be relaxed by employing a least absolute deviations estimate for the unknown parameters by noting that the estimating equation for determining the tail index is invariant to a scale transformation of the underlying model.