Fa. Elawar et al., STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL DYNAMIC-PROGRAMMING FOR MULTI-RESERVOIR SYSTEM CONTROL, Stochastic hydrology and hydraulics, 12(4), 1998, pp. 247-266
As with all dynamic programming formulations, differential dynamic pro
gramming (DDP) successfully exploits the sequential decision structure
of multi-reservoir optimization problems, overcomes difficulties with
the nonconvexity of energy production functions for hydropower system
s, and provides optimal feedback release policies. DDP is particularly
well suited to optimizing large-scale multi-reservoir systems due to
its relative insensitivity to state-space dimensionality. This advanta
ge of DDP encourages expansion of the state vector to include addition
al multi-lag hydrologic information and/or future inflow forecasts in
developing optimal reservoir release policies. Unfortunately, attempts
at extending DDP to the stochastic case have not been entirely succes
sful. A modified stochastic DDP algorithm is presented which overcomes
difficulties in previous formulations. Application of the algorithm t
o a four-reservoir hydropower system demonstrates its capabilities as
an efficient approach to solving stochastic multi-reservoir optimizati
on problems. The algorithm is also applied to a single reservoir probl
em with inclusion of multi-lag hydrologic information in the state vec
tor. Results provide evidence of significant benefits in direct inclus
ion of expanded hydrologic state information in optimal feedback relea
se policies.