Causal inference for continuous-time processes when covariates are observed only at discrete times

Citation
Mingyuan Zhang et al., Causal inference for continuous-time processes when covariates are observed only at discrete times, Annals of statistics , 39(1), 2011, pp. 131-173
Journal title
ISSN journal
00905364
Volume
39
Issue
1
Year of publication
2011
Pages
131 - 173
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
Most of the work on the structural nested model and g-estimation for causal inference in longitudinal data assumes a discrete-time underlying data generating process. However, in some observational studies, it is more reasonable to assume that the data are generated from a continuous-time process and are only observable at discrete time points. When these circumstances arise, the sequential randomization assumption in the observed discrete-time data, which is essential in justifying discrete-time g-estimation, may not be reasonable. Under a deterministic model, we discuss other useful assumptions that guarantee the consistency of discrete-time g-estimation. In more general cases, when those assumptions are violated, we propose a controlling-the-future method that performs at least as well as g-estimation in most scenarios and which provides consistent estimation in some cases where g-estimation is severely inconsistent. We apply the methods discussed in this paper to simulated data, as well as to a data set collected following a massive flood in Bangladesh, estimating the effect of diarrhea on children.s height. Results from different methods are compared in both simulation and the real application.