Authors
Citation
S. Sofia et al., FORECAST UPDATE FOR ACTIVITY-CYCLE-23 FROM A DYNAMO-BASED METHOD, Geophysical research letters, 25(22), 1998, pp. 4149-4152
Citations number
13
Categorie Soggetti
Geosciences, Interdisciplinary
Journal title
ISSN journal
00948276
Volume
25
Issue
22
Year of publication
1998
Pages
4149 - 4152
Database
ISI
SICI code
0094-8276(1998)25:22<4149:FUFAFA>2.0.ZU;2-D
Abstract
In this paper we update a prediction of the solar activity for cycle 2
3 on the basis of a general framework derived from simple dynamo consi
derations. We estimate an expected maximum smoothed International Suns
pot Number of 143+/-30, or a smoothed 2800 MHz radio flux (F10.7) of 1
90+/-30 x 10(-22) Watts/m(2)/Hz. These values should allow us to test
the reliability of the various forecasting methods.