Current Status Data with Competing Risks: Consistency and Rates of Convergence of the MLE

We study nonparametric estimation of the sub-distribution functions for current status data with competing risks. Our main interest is in the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and for comparison we also consider a simpler "naive estimator." Both types of estimators were studied by Jewell, van der Laan and Henneman [Biometrika (2003) 90 183-197], but little was known about their large sample properties. We have started to fill this gap, by proving that the estimators are consistent and converge globally and locally at rate $n^{1/3}$. We also show that this local rate of convergence is optimal in a minimax sense. The proof of the local rate of convergence of the MLE uses new methods, and relies on a rate result for the sum of the MLEs of the sub-distribution functions which holds uniformly on a fixed neighborhood of a point. Our results are used in Groeneboom, Maathuis and Wellner [Ann. Statist. (2008) 36 1064-1089] to obtain the local limiting distributions of the estimators.