Two canonical VARMA forms: scalar component models vis-à-vis the echelon form

Citation
Athanasopoulos, George et al., Two canonical VARMA forms: scalar component models vis-à-vis the echelon form, Econometric reviews , 31(1), 2012, pp. 60-83
Journal title
ISSN journal
07474938
Volume
31
Issue
1
Year of publication
2012
Pages
60 - 83
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
In this article we study two methodologies which identify and specify canonical form VARMA models. The two methodologies are: (1) an extension of the scalar component methodology which specifies canonical VARMA models by identifying scalar components through canonical correlations analysis; and (2) the Echelon form methodology, which specifies canonical VARMA models through the estimation of Kronecker indices. We compare the actual forms and the methodologies on three levels. Firstly, we present a theoretical comparison. Secondly, we present a Monte Carlo simulation study that compares the performances of the two methodologies in identifying some pre-specified data generating processes. Lastly, we compare the out-of-sample forecast performance of the two forms when models are fitted to real macroeconomic data.