Bwj. Mol et al., THE ACCURACY OF SINGLE SERUM PROGESTERONE MEASUREMENT IN THE DIAGNOSIS OF ECTOPIC PREGNANCY - A METAANALYSIS, Human reproduction (Oxford. Print), 13(11), 1998, pp. 3220-3227
Serum progesterone measurement has been advocated as a diagnostic tool
in the non-invasive diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy, To assess the acc
uracy of a single serum progesterone measurement in the diagnosis of e
ctopic pregnancy, a meta-analysis was performed incorporating 26 studi
es evaluating the performance of single serum progesterone measurement
in the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy. A distinction was made in the
diagnosis of pregnancy failure of any type versus viable intrauterine
pregnancy and the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy versus non-ectopic pr
egnancy. The reported sensitivity and specificity differed between the
studies. Since there was a clear negative correlation between sensiti
vity and specificity, summary receiver-operating characteristic (ROC)
curves could be estimated. The ROC curve for the diagnosis of pregnanc
y failure versus viable intrauterine pregnancy showed a good discrimin
ative capacity. Single serum progesterone measurement could not discri
minate between ectopic pregnancy and non-ectopic pregnancy, It is conc
luded that serum progesterone measurement can identify patients at ris
k for ectopic pregnancy, who need further evaluation, but its discrimi
native capacity is insufficient to diagnose ectopic pregnancy with cer
tainty.