GROWTH UNDER UNCERTAINTY WITH EXPERIMENTATION

Citation
G. Bertocchi et M. Spagat, GROWTH UNDER UNCERTAINTY WITH EXPERIMENTATION, Journal of economic dynamics & control, 23(2), 1998, pp. 209-231
Citations number
20
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
ISSN journal
01651889
Volume
23
Issue
2
Year of publication
1998
Pages
209 - 231
Database
ISI
SICI code
0165-1889(1998)23:2<209:GUUWE>2.0.ZU;2-8
Abstract
We introduce Bayesian learning into a stochastic growth model and stud y the effect of experimentation on the optimal level of the investment decision and on the amount of information gathering. When more invest ment produces more information, experimentation can push towards a low er level of investment, thus reducing information acquisition. Symmetr ically, when more investment reduces information, experimentation can increase investment and again decrease information gathering. These re sults run contrary to intuitions generated by the standard literature on experimentation. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved .