Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths

Citation
J. Patton, Andrew, Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths, Journal of applied econometrics , 21(2), 2006, pp. 147-173
ISSN journal
08837252
Volume
21
Issue
2
Year of publication
2006
Pages
147 - 173
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
We consider the problem of estimating parametric multivariate density models when unequal amounts of data are available on each variable. We focus in particular on the case that the unknown parameter vector may be partitioned into elements relating only to a marginal distribution and elements relating to the copula. In such a case we propose using a multi-stage maximum likelihood estimator (MSMLE) based on all available data rather than the usual one-stage maximum likelihood estimator (ISMLE) based only on the overlapping data. We provide conditions under which the MSMLE is not less asymptotically efficient than the ISMLE, and we examine the small sample efficiency of the estimators via simulations. The analysis in this paper is motivated by a model of the joint distribution of daily Japanese yen-US dollar and euro-US dollar exchange rates. We find significant evidence of time variation in the conditional copula of these exchange rates, and evidence of greater dependence extreme events than under the normal distribution.