Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility

Citation
Chiriac, Roxana et Voev, Valeri, Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility, Journal of applied econometrics , 26(6), 2011, pp. 922-947
ISSN journal
08837252
Volume
26
Issue
6
Year of publication
2011
Pages
922 - 947
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
This paper proposes a methodology for dynamic modelling and forecasting of realized covariance matrices based on fractionally integrated processes. The approach allows for flexible dependence patterns and automatically guarantees positive definiteness of the forecast. We provide an empirical application of the model, which shows that it outperforms other approaches in the extant literature, both in terms of statistical precision as well as in terms of providing a superior mean-variance trade-off in a classical investment decision setting.