P. Ray et al., NEW MONETARY TRANSMISSION CHANNELS - ROLE OF INTEREST-RATES AND EXCHANGE-RATE IN CONDUCT OF INDIAN MONETARY-POLICY, Economic and political weekly, 33(44), 1998, pp. 2787-2794
This paper explores new dimensions in the monetary transmission mechan
ism in the environment of liberalisation initiated in the early 1990s
and in the context of growing integration of financial markets. An exa
mination of the Chakravarty Committee paradigm in this changed milieu
motivated us to see the role of two key variables in the conduct of mo
netary policy, viz, interest rates and exchange rates. The long-run re
lationship between money, prices, output, and exchange rate is examine
d and the impact of money market disequilibrium on interest rats is tr
aced by testing the joins significance of the lags of disequilibrium e
rrors. We also conduct weak and block exogenity rests for exchange rat
es. Interest rates and exchange rates are seen to be endogenously dete
rmined in the liberalised regime beginning 1992-93, raising the possib
ility of the change in transmission mechanism following the advent of
financial reforms. The recent shifts in the operating procedure of mon
etary policy are in consonance with our findings.