M. Artis et al., INFLATION TARGETING - WHAT CAN THE ECB LEARN FROM THE RECENT EXPERIENCE OF THE BANK-OF-ENGLAND, Economic journal, 108(451), 1998, pp. 1810-1825
Establishment of the European Central Bank presents a rare opportunity
to define the operations of a central bank without a prior track reco
rd. This paper asks what might Ire learnt from the recent experience o
f inflation targeting at the Bank of England before the ECB specifies
an, as yet undefined, operational target. We consider whether there sh
ould be single or multiple targets and which inflation measure should
be used, if at all. If inflation is targeted then a forecast of its va
lue becomes the intermediate variable. This raises an issue of transpa
rency and the compensating supply of information necessary to fill the
gap, but too much 'openness' can also be problematic. The ECB must be
accountable and the contracting approach may be useful although being
seen to 'say' and 'do' the same thing is ultimately most important.