We measured oak-mast production and forest structure and composition i
n the Ozark Mountains of Missouri and tested the accuracy of oak-mast
prediction variables from 5 Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) species mo
dels. Acorn production was positively associated with several measures
of abundance and canopy cover of oak trees, and with an index of mast
production for all 5 HSI models. We developed 2 modified oak-mast mod
els, based on inputs related to either oak tree density or oak canopy
cover and diversity of oak tree species, The revised models accounted
for 22-32% of the variance associated with acorn abundance. Future tes
ts of HSI models should consider: (1) the concept of upper limits impo
sed by habitat and the effects of nonhabitat factors; (2) the benefits
of a top-down approach to model development; and (3) testing models a
cross broad geographic regions.