K. Cuthbertson et al., The industry response to macroeconomic shocks in the UK, Germany and France and the convergence debate, ECON SOC R, 29(4), 1998, pp. 383-401
In this paper, we investigate the response of stock returns at an industry
level to macroeconomic shocks for the UK, Germany and France. The betas bet
ween the stock returns and the macroeconomic factors provide a metric for t
he markets view of the homogeneity of industry response to the various macr
oeconomic shocks. We find that the market seems to focus on the interest ra
te and the exchange rate as key sources of important shocks and that shocks
to real output growth have little or no direct effect on most industry ret
urns in all three countries.