The purpose of the present research is to examine the influence of expertis
e in confirmation judgment of category-based induction. In experiment 1, do
ctoral students who were majoring in biology judged confirmation of categor
y-based induction on the illness of birds. Research such as Osherson, Smith
, Wilkie, Lopez, & Shafir (1990) has showed that undergraduates with arts b
ackgrounds judged confirmation according to the coverage principle. But doc
toral students in biology judged confirmation according to diversity princi
ple, in both general and specific inductions. In experiment 2, in order to
find out whether this result was due to expertise in biology, doctoral stud
ents majoring in mathematics/physics/psychology judged confirmation of gene
ral induction. Even when graduate school students in the same specialty at
the same university made judgments, individual differences were seen in the
manner of confirmation judgment of category-based induction. Many subjects
judged confirmation according to the diversity principle, but subjects who
judged according to the coverage principle were seen, too. Therefore, it i
s likely that the diversity principle in category-based induction was not d
ue to expertise in biology or natural science, but rather was a heuristic s
trategy of researchers in general. But further research must be done on the
belief or knowledge concerning the conclusive factor to determine whether
one conforms to the diversity principle or the coverage principle.