The paper presents a model of the land mobile satellite channel, predicting
the statistical fade distribution in a given urban or suburban area descri
bed by objective data. The channel modelling is based on a conditional Rici
an distribution, whose parameters are related to physical parameters such a
s building height, street width, azimuth and elevation angles of the satell
ite link. Relationships between Rician and physical parameters are estimate
d by means of a ray-tracing method based on the uniform theory of diffracti
on, and statistically varying physical parameters are described by analytic
al distributions. The model is applied to a typical suburban area, and very
good agreement is found between simulations of the fade distribution and r
adio measurements at L, S and X bands for two elevation angles.