Context Prolonged postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is assoc
iated with increased incidence of breast cancer and, paradoxically, reduced
breast cancer mortality, The biological rationale for this discrepancy has
not been explored.
Objective To compare the prognostic characteristics of cancers arising in w
omen who have used HRT with those in women who never have used HRT.
Design Prospective cohort study from December 1989 to November 1996.
Setting Teaching hospital in a large midwestern metropolitan area.
Patients Cohort of 331 postmenopausal women who presented consecutively wit
h 349 invasive breast cancers.
Main outcome Measures Estrogen receptor (ER) status (ER positive vs ER nega
tive) and S phase (low vs high) for current HRT users vs never users.
Results The frequency of high S-phase fraction among cancers in women who w
ere using HRT was markedly increased com pared with that in women who had n
ever used HRT (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.82; 95% confidence interval [CI]
, 1.04-7.66). However, the greater frequency of high S-phase fraction was l
imited to women with ER-positive cancers (for HRT users vs never Users, OR,
5.25; 95% CI, 1.36-20.28; for ER-negative cancers in HRT users vs never us
ers, OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.20-5.86).
Conclusions Use of HRT appears to stimulate growth of ER-positive but not E
R-negative breast cancer as measured by S-phase fraction. The prognostic si
gnificance of high S-phase fraction in current HRT users who have ER-positi
ve tumors is unknown.