Radar reflectivity-derived thunderstorm parameters applied to storm longevity forecasting

Citation
Pl. Mackeen et al., Radar reflectivity-derived thunderstorm parameters applied to storm longevity forecasting, WEATHER FOR, 14(2), 1999, pp. 289-295
Citations number
20
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
WEATHER AND FORECASTING
ISSN journal
08828156 → ACNP
Volume
14
Issue
2
Year of publication
1999
Pages
289 - 295
Database
ISI
SICI code
0882-8156(199904)14:2<289:RRTPAT>2.0.ZU;2-X
Abstract
In order for the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to use airspace more efficiently during thunderstorm events, accurate storm longevity forecasts are needed. Relationships between 16 radar reflectivity-derived storm char acteristics and storm longevity are examined to determine which, if any, of the storm characteristics are strongly related to storm lifetime. Such rel ationships are potentially useful for the development of storm longevity fo recasts. The study includes 879 storms that formed over the Memphis, Tennes see, area during 15 late spring and summer convective days. Statistical ana lyses comparing all 16 storm characteristics to the observed remaining life time show that these storm characteristics are not good predictors for stor m remaining lifetime.