J. Graham et al., Negative association between type 1 diabetes and HLA DQB1*0602-DQA1*0102 is attenuated with age at onset, EUR J IMM, 26(2-3), 1999, pp. 117-127
HLA-associated relative risks of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellit
us were analysed in population-based Swedish patients and controls aged 0-3
4 years. The age dependence of HLA-associated relative risks was assessed b
y likelihood ratio tests of regression parameters in separate logistic regr
ession models for each HLA category. The analyses demonstrated an attenuati
on with increasing age at onset in the relative risk for the positively ass
ociated DQB1*0201-A1*0502/B1*0302-A1*0301 (DQ2/8) genotype (P = 0.02) and t
he negatively associated DQB1*0602-A1*0102 (DQ6.2) haplotype (P=0.004). At
birth, DQ6.2-positive individuals had an estimated relative risk of 0.03, b
ut this increased to 1.1 at age 35 years. Relative risks for individuals wi
th DQ genotype 8/8 or 8/X or DQ genotype 2/2 or 2/X, where X is any DQ hapl
otype other than 2, 8 or 6.2, were not significantly age-dependent. An expl
oratory analysis of DQ haplotypes other than 2, 8 and 6.2 suggested that th
e risk of type 1 diabetes increases with age for DQB1*0604-A1*0102 (DQ6.4)
and that the peak risk for the negatively associated DQB1*0301-A1*0501 hapl
otype is at age 18 years. There was also weak evidence that the risk for DQ
B1*0303-A1*0301 (DQ9), which has a positive association in the Japanese pop
ulation, may decrease with age. We speculate that HLA-DQ alleles have a sig
nificant effect on the rate of beta cell destruction, which is accelerated
in DQ2/8-positive individuals and inhibited, but not completely blocked, in
DQ6.2-positive individuals.