This study was conducted to evaluate Ricketts' long-range growth prediction
in Turkish children. Cephalometric analysis was conducted at baseline and
7 years for 40 children (20 girls, 20 boys) who received no orthodontic tre
atment. Ricketts' long-range prediction was performed from baseline cephalo
grams and compared with actual growth 7 years later. Twenty-one cephalometr
ic (12 angular and 9 linear) parameters were measured on actual and predict
ed tracings. The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to evaluate relat
ionships between the "predicted" and "actual" measurements. Analysis was co
nducted on pooled data (males and females) and data by sex. There was a hig
her level of correlation for growth prediction in girls. Data indicate pred
ictability in boys was greater for maxillary mandibular growth parameters.
It was concluded that Ricketts' long-range growth prediction may be helpful
in improving treatment planning. Further work on accurate soft tissue and
hard tissue growth prediction is indicated.