Induced preferences, nonadditive beliefs, and multiple priors

Citation
D. Kelsey et F. Milne, Induced preferences, nonadditive beliefs, and multiple priors, INT ECON R, 40(2), 1999, pp. 455-477
Citations number
40
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW
ISSN journal
00206598 → ACNP
Volume
40
Issue
2
Year of publication
1999
Pages
455 - 477
Database
ISI
SICI code
0020-6598(199905)40:2<455:IPNBAM>2.0.ZU;2-X
Abstract
We study a decision maker who follows the Savage axioms, We show that if he or she is able to take unobservable actions that influence the probabiliti es of outcomes, then it can appear to an outsider as if his or her subjecti ve probabilities are nonadditive. Implications for multiperiod decision are explored. We extend the model to include a second individual who is also a ble to take a hidden action. We show that this may induce uncertainty-avers e preferences over some class of acts, even if the second individual acts t o help the decision maker with high probability.