Emissions of nitrogen (N) oxide were simulated for one current, unsustainab
le pasture management system (Natural) and two alternative, sustainable sys
tems (Grass-Legume and Fertilized Improved ed) relevant to the Northern Atl
antic Zone (NAZ) of Costa Rica, To produce frequency distributions of N oxi
de emissions, an expert system for generating technical coefficients of pas
tures nas linked with a process-based simulation model. The expert model ge
nerated parameter sets representing different options for the three managem
ent systems. The simulation model was rerun for each parameter set. Simulat
ed nitrous oxide (N2O)-N losses 25 yr after pasture establishment were 3 to
5 kg ha(-1) yr(-1) for natural pastures, 12 to 15 for grass-legume mixture
s, and 7 to 28 for fertilized grasses, Losses of nitric oxide (NO)-N were 1
to 2 kg ha(-1) yr(-1) for natural pastures, 7 to 8 for grass-legume mixtur
es, and 3 to Ib for fertilized grasses. Stepwise multiple regression showed
that N2O-N losses were explained by annual C input to the soil (R-2 = 0.99
7), and NO-N losses by attainable dry matter production (R-2 = 0.972), Carb
on input and dry matter production were controlled by stocking rate and fer
tilizer level. Soil-atmosphere N oxide emissions from pastures may increase
by a factor 3 to 5 when natural pastures are converted to improved pasture
s, Such conversion may increase the sustainability of the pasture by stoppi
ng the decline of soil N, However, the change is not necessarily sustainabl
e from a global perspective because it increases the emission of N oxide gr
eenhouse gases.