If substitutions in DNA sequences follow a Poisson process, the ratio
of the variance in the number of substitutions to the mean number of s
ubstitutions (the index of dispersion) should equal 1. In this paper,
the robustness of the commonly applied estimator of the index of dispe
rsion in replacement sites and silent sites to various assumptions reg
arding DNA evolution is explored using simulation methods. The estimat
e of the index of dispersion may be strongly biased if the assumptions
of the model of substitution are violated. However, the results of th
is study support the conclusions of studies by Gillespie and Ohta that
the process of substitution in replacement sites is overdispersed. Th
is result contradicts those of a recent study and shows that the high
index of dispersion for replacement sites is not an artifact caused by
the method of estimation. (C) 1997 Academic Press.