R. Cervero et Kl. Wu, POLYCENTRISM, COMMUTING, AND RESIDENTIAL LOCATION IN THE SAN-FRANCISCO BAY AREA, Environment & planning A, 29(5), 1997, pp. 865-886
The San Francisco Bay Area has taken on a distinct polycentric metropo
litan form, with three tiers of hierarchical employment centers encirc
ling downtown San Francisco, the region's primary center. In this pape
r it is found that polycentric development is associated with differen
tials in suburban and urban commute trip times: commute trips made by
employees of suburban centers are shorter in duration than commute tri
ps made by their counterparts in larger and denser urban centers. Diff
erentials were even greater, however, with respect to commuting modal
splits. Lower density, outlying employment centers averaged far higher
rates of drive-alone automobile commuting and insignificant levels of
transit commuting. Smaller, outlying centers were also the least self
-contained, with a large number averaging twenty or more times as many
external as internal commutes. The effects of housing availability an
d prices on the residential locational choices of those working both i
n urban and in suburban employment centers are also investigated in th
is paper. Locational choices are stratified by occupational class and
type of center. High housing prices in and around employment centers w
ere found to displace workers to residences in other subregions, excep
t in the case of professional workers in fast-growing, outlying center
s. These workers were attracted to higher-priced nearby housing. In th
e empirical analysis, significant segmentation in housing choices amon
g workers in fast-growing suburban centers was found. This could be pa
rtly due to selective land-use policies implemented by local governmen
ts in these areas.