Objectives To relate maternal and infant characteristics to newborn shoulde
r width and to evaluate the predictive value of newborn shoulder width meas
urement in cases of shoulder dystocia.
Design Newborn shoulder width was systematically measured at birth during a
period of 18 months.
Setting Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology of Saint-Antoine Universit
y Hospital, Paris, France.
Population A total of 2222 newborn shoulder width measurements were perform
ed and 22 cases of true shoulder dystocia occurred during the study period.
Methods Newborn shoulder width measurements were reviewed and correlated wi
th maternal age, par ity, nonpregnant weight, weight gain during pregnancy,
height, race, fasting glucose and one hour glucose levels, gestational age
, birthweight and sex of the neonate. A receiver-operating characteristics
curve was constructed to evaluate newborn shoulder width as a test for pred
icting shoulder dystocia.
Results The mean newborn shoulder width was 122.06 mm (10.50 SD). Stepwise
multiple regression showed that newborn shoulder width was significantly as
sociated with birthweight (P < 0.001), parity (P = 0.04), and nonpregnant w
eight (P = 0.04). We estimated that the best cut off for shoulder dystocia
prediction was a newborn shoulder width measurement with a low false positi
ve rate (< 10%) in association with a high sensitivity rate. Therefore, new
born shoulder width measurement greater than or equal to 140 mm was selecte
d. This measurement should have a low sensitivity of 27.27%, a specificity
of 91.82%, a positive predictive value of 4.02%, and a negative predictive
value of 99.01% for shoulder dystocia prediction. Nevertheless, birthweight
greater than or equal to 4000 g should have a better predictive value retr
ospectively for shoulder dystocia.
Conclusions Newborn shoulder width measurement, which is strongly correlate
d with birthweight, still remains a poor predictor for shoulder dystocia, e
ven when this evaluation is correct antenatally.