Purpose: The limitation of current urinary tumor markers is the low specifi
city and positive predictive value, which clinically manifests as a high fa
lse-positive rate. We analyzed the false-positive data of 2 urinary tumor m
arkers, NMP22 and the BTA stat tests. We examined the clinical categories o
f the false-positive results, established relative exclusion criteria, and
recalculated the specificity and positive predictive value after using the
exclusion criteria.
Materials and Methods: A total of 278 symptomatic patients who presented to
a urology clinic were asked to submit a single voided urine sample. Each s
ample was divided into 3 aliquots of which 1 was stabilized with the NMP22
test kit stabilizer and assayed for NMP22, 1 was tested for BTA stat and 1
was sent for cytological examination. All patients subsequently underwent o
ffice cystoscopy and bladder biopsy if indicated.
Results: Of the 278 symptomatic patients 112 presented with microscopic hem
aturia, 77 gross hematuria and 89 chronic symptoms of urinary frequency or
dysuria. Of 34 cases (12%) of histologically confirmed bladder cancer NMP22
detected 28 (82.4%), BTA stat 23 (67.7%) and cytology only 10 (29.4%). Whe
n atypical cytologies were considered positive, cytology then detected 19 c
ases (55.9%). Elevated NMP22 values were positive in 28 cases and false-pos
itive in 44 for a specificity of 82% and a positive predictive value of 38.
9%. Similarly, BTA stat test was positive in 23 cases and false-positive in
43 for a specificity of 82.4% and a positive predictive value of 34.9%. Wh
en atypical cytologies were considered positive, the specificity and positi
ve predictive value were 93% and 55.9%. Greater than 80% of the false-posit
ive results were clinically categorized as benign inflammatory or infectiou
s conditions, renal or bladder calculi, recent history of a foreign body in
the urinary tract, bowel interposition segment, another genitourinary canc
er or an instrumented urinary sample. A category of "no known pathology" wa
s included in analysis as a control. History of ureteral stents or any bowe
l interposition segment had a 100% false-positive rate. Exclusion of all 6
clinical categories improved the specificity and positive predictive value
of NMP22 (95.6%, 87.5%) and BTA stat (91.5%, 69.7%), and was similar to uri
nary cytology.
Conclusions: Awareness and exclusion of the categories of false-positive re
sults can increase the specificity and enhance the clinical usefulness of N
MP22 and BTA stat tests. Similarly, treating an atypical cytology as positi
ve can enhance the sensitivity and usefulness of urinary cytology.