Adolescent smoking continues to rise in the United States. Individuals from
economically-disadvantaged households appear at high risk for smoking. Thi
s study focused on a sample of economically-disadvantaged adolescents atten
ding New York City schools (N = 1875). Longitudinal predictors of smoking f
rom four domains (socio-demographic background information, social influenc
es to smoke, social and personal competence, and individual differences) we
re tested. Social influences to smoke, from mothers and friends, both predi
cted smoking one year later. Poor decision-making skills, and low psycholog
ical well-being also predicted subsequent smoking. Conclusion: These findin
gs support social learning theory (Bandura, 1977) and problem behavior theo
ry (Jessor, 1991). Furthermore, the results suggest that training adolescen
ts to resist social influences to smoke, to problem solve and make sound de
cisions, and how to cope with psychological distress are among the key comp
onents for effective smoking prevention approaches.