Purpose: The aim of this study was to identify the demand for pediatric sur
geons as perceived and experienced by recent graduates of North American tr
aining programs.
Methods:A survey questionnaire was mailed to every pediatric surgeon who ha
d completed a certified training program in the United States or Canada bet
ween 1992 and 1997; 84% of the 165 responded. The data were then analyzed u
sing univariate and bivariate statistics and content analysis.
Results: The number trained has risen since 1992 from 21 to 35 per year, ex
ceeding previous definitions of need. However, recently trained pediatric s
urgeons found positions, and their first-year incomes had risen oven the 6-
year period. In contrast, just 54% found first positions in the type of hos
pital desired, and the percent working in a children's hospital dropped fro
m 65% in 1992 to 32% in 1997; 34% cover between four and ten hospitals. The
majority of those in practice for more than 2 years expressed the percepti
on of a decline in market demand with just 30% of those 1996 to 1997 gradua
tes perceiving a strong market. The clinical scope of practice was less tha
n that for which they were trained. Three specified complex cases were mana
ged by fewer than 30% of recent graduates during practice despite more than
60% having had fellowship experience. The scope of practice, as measured b
y variables of index procedures, was strongly associated with hospital type
(children's or general) and by practice region. Although satisfaction with
practice is lower for each successive class, 96% of the graduates were sat
isfied with their training programs, and 98% believed they had been well pr
epared, although 46% indicated they desired some additional training. Sixty
-one percent believed the role of pediatric surgeons will change over the n
ext 5 years.
Conclusions: The market demand was strong as measured by employment and inc
ome. This was in contrast to the striking recent changes in the market for
new pediatric surgeons, including a migration of practice from children's t
o general hospitals, a reduced scope of practice, a more negative perceptio
n of the pediatric surgery market, and concerns for narrowing of the specia
lty. J Pediatr Surg 34:931-939. Copyright (C) 1999 by W.B. Saunders Company
.