Sk. Johnson et Ar. Halpern, Prediction accuracy of young and middle-aged adults in memory for familiarand unfamiliar texts, AM J PSYCHO, 112(2), 1999, pp. 235-257
This study investigated the influence of age, familiarity, and level of exp
osure on the metamemorial skill of prediction accuracy on a future test. Yo
ung (17 to 23 years old) and middle-aged adults (35 to 50 years old) were a
sked to predict their memory for text material. Participants made predictio
ns on a familiar text and an unfamiliar text, at three different levels of
exposure to each. The middle-aged adults were superior to the younger adult
s at predicting performance. This finding indicates that metamemory may inc
rease from youth to middle age. Other findings include superior prediction
accuracy for unfamiliar compared to familiar material, a result conflicting
with previous findings, and an interaction between level of exposure and f
amiliarity that appears to modify the main effects of those variables.