Behavioural sequences of juvenile brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis were in
vestigated by time-lapse video-recording in the laboratory. A repertoire of
six behavioural states was considered. Time-dependent probabilities of bei
ng in a given state, staying in the same state or changing of state, were d
erived from the behavioural profiles recorded continuously over time for ea
ch fish, during 2 h on 2 days. A two-way factorial design with doubly repea
ted measures was applied to test the effects of stocking density (3 vs. 6 f
ish.150 l), ration level (1.2 vs. 2.5%), feeding (before vs. after feeding)
and time on these time-dependent probabilities. Feeding and time affected
significantly the transition probabilities. A state space model was introdu
ced using the estimated time-dependent probabilities to capture the tempora
l structure of fish behaviour. The generated forecasts corresponded well to
observed fish behaviour with R'(2) greater than or equal to 0.50 for four
behavioural states. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.