We investigated the reliability of a rechargeable battery acting as the ene
rgy storage component in a photovoltaic power supply system. A model system
was constructed for this that includes the solar resource, the photovoltai
c power supply system, the rechargeable battery and a load. The solar resou
rce and the system load are modelled as stochastic processes. The photovolt
aic system and the rechargeable battery are modelled deterministically, and
an artificial neural network is incorporated into the model of the recharg
eable battery to simulate damage that occurs during deep discharge cycles.
The equations governing system behaviour are solved simultaneously in the M
onte Carlo framework, and a first passage problem is solved to assess syste
m reliability, (C) 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.