Comments on: "Notes on the appropriateness of 'bred modes' for generating initial perturbations"

Citation
Z. Toth et al., Comments on: "Notes on the appropriateness of 'bred modes' for generating initial perturbations", TELLUS A, 51(3), 1999, pp. 442-449
Citations number
40
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY
ISSN journal
02806495 → ACNP
Volume
51
Issue
3
Year of publication
1999
Pages
442 - 449
Database
ISI
SICI code
0280-6495(199905)51:3<442:CO"OTA>2.0.ZU;2-#
Abstract
We are gratified by Errico and Langland's (EL, 1999) interest in the use of bred vectors (BVs) in ensemble forecasting. Since they offer detailed comm ents on only 2 of our papers related to breeding, we would like to bring at tention to a number of other related papers that are nor referenced by EL. In addition to Toth and Kalnay 1997 (TK97), which discussed in detail prope rties of breeding and its operational implementation at NCEP, these papers cover mathematically-oriented studies (Smith, 1997; Smith and Gilmour, 1998 ), experiments with low- or intermediate-dimensional models (Houtekamer and Derome, 1994; Swanson et al., 1998; Noone and Simmonds, 1998), and the use and verification of ensemble forecasts with operational numerical weather prediction models (Rennick, 1995: Barker. 1998; Atger, 1999; Zhu et al., 19 96; Toth et al., 1996, 1997, 1998). With respect to EL's comments, we agree with many of their points in which they restate important and basic inform ation available from different sources. We read with interest about EL's id eas and experiments regarding the geostrophic balance (or lack of it) of th e total energy based (TE) singular vectors (SVs). We are grateful to the au thors for helping us find 2 minor inconsistencies in the paper by Szunyogh et al. (SKT, 1997). First, the cross section latitude in Fig. Ib of SKT (45 S) was accidentally omitted From the legend. And second, on page 206, SKT used the wrong phrase "sign" for distinguishing among the different phases of the leading LLV. At most other places, however, we believe that EL's cri ticisms are unjustified for 3 reasons. First, at several places EL erroneou sly attribute statements to us that we have not made in any of our papers. Second, EL, make statements, or form conclusions that, based on independent research, are incorrect or very questionable. Finally, at other places, EL make statements that are confusing. We believe that most of the misdirecte d, incorrect or confusing statements could have been avoided either by read ing some of the published references, especially the TK97 paper mentioned a bove, or by informal discussions. For the sake of brevity, we address only the most relevant issues below, grouped by topic areas.