Systematically enlarged multiconfiguration Dirac-Fock wave functions have b
een applied in order to investigate the forbidden lines among the 3s(2)3p(3
) ground-state levels for phosphorus-like ions at the neutral end of the se
quence. The probabilities and ratios of these lines are important in the di
agnostics of astrophysical plasmas. In a recent computation by Keenan et al
., these probabilities were found to differ by up to similar to 25% from ea
rlier (partially semiempirical) computations. To analyze this discrepancy i
n the contest of ab initio structure theory, we report on a series of large
-scale computations for these magnetic dipole and electric quadrupole trans
ition probabilities. Our computations do not confirm the deviations found b
y Keenan et al. Detailed comparisons are made with previous calculations an
d observed data on the separation of energy levels and transition probabili
ties for the four ions P I, S II, Cl III, and Ar IV. Our study clearly demo
nstrates the possibility of a systemntic approach, but also shows the effor
t that is needed to obtain sufficiently accurate atomic data for systems wi
th five (or more) valence electrons.