Ecology has been characterized by a central controversy for decades: namely
, whether the distribution and abundance of organisms are determined by spe
cies interactions, such as competitive exclusion, or by environmental condi
tions. In part, this is because competitive exclusion has not been convinci
ngly demonstrated in open, natural systems. In addition, traditional theore
tical models cannot predict the outcome of competitive Interactions in the
presence of environmental variability. In this paper we document the limiti
ng influence of strong interspecific competition on population dynamics and
nestling mortality in a mixed population of pied flycatchers (Ficedula hyp
oleuca) and collared flycatchers (F. albicollis) in a narrow zone of sympat
ry. Whereas the former species was limited mainly by interspecific competit
ion, the latter species was limited by the concerted influences of intraspe
cific competition and climate. The analysis suggests a march towards compet
itive exclusion of the pied flycatcher during warm periods. However, compet
itive exclusion is apparently prohibited on a local scale because intraspec
ific competition among individual collared flycatchers intensifies when the
y are forced to cope with severe environmental conditions, promoting the te
mporary and local presence of pied flycatchers.