Study Design. A prospective g-year follow-up study involving randomized mat
ched subgroups of 15-year-old schoolchildren with or without low back pain
at baseline.
Objectives. To evaluate the long-term persistence of initially reported rec
urrent low back pain, and to examine the significance of abnormalities foun
d in magnetic resonance imaging of lumbar discs in individuals 15 and 18 ye
ars of age as possible contributors to persistently recurrent low back pain
.
Summary of Background Data. In surveys among children and teenagers during
the past few years, as many as half of all children in a community report a
history of low back pain. The current results, in accordance with previous
findings, indicate that there is a subgroup of adolescents with more chron
ic symptoms which, in the authors' opinion, deserves more attention. Disc d
isease accompanying low back pain is a key issue both in research and clini
cal practice. The significance of early degenerative findings in the lumbar
discs is not known.
Methods. In the survey of 14-year-olds (n = 1503), a subgroup (7.8%) with r
ecurrent low back pain was found. A random sample of individuals with recur
rent low back pain (n = 40) and an equal number of completely asymptomatic
control subjects were selected for a comparative study. The selected groups
were examined by magnetic resonance imaging at 15 and 18 years of age. The
participation rate of youth at 14, 18, and 23 years of age for all three q
uestionnaires was 82% (29 boys and 33 girls). Imaging data were interpreted
by two blinded radiologists experienced in low-field-strength magnetic res
onance imaging. In calculations of relative risks, the participants reporti
ng recurrent low back pain in all phases of the study were compared with pa
rticipants who had no persistently recurrent pain.
Results. Eleven participants (35%) in the original group with low back pain
persistently reported recurrent pain. In 15-year-old participants with dis
c degeneration, the relative risk of reporting recurrent low back pain up t
o the age of 23 years was 16 (95% confidence interval 2.2-118) compared wit
h those having no disc degeneration. In addition, disc protrusion and Scheu
ermann-type changes at 15 years contributed to the risk of persistently rec
urrent low back pain.
Conclusions. The authors' earlier findings already favored the hypothesis o
f a causal relation between the early evolution of a degenerative process o
f lower lumbar discs and recurrent low back pain in the near future. The cu
rrent results further strengthen this hypothesis, indicating that individua
ls with disc degeneration soon after the phase of rapid physical growth not
only have an increased risk of recurrent low back pain at this age, but al
so a long-term risk of recurrent pain up to early adulthood.