Recent years have seen the introduction of profit comparisons by national t
ax authorities to cope with multinationals' profit shifting activities. We
argue that a country that switches from price-related transfer pricing rule
s to profit-related measures can reduce imports without changing firms' tra
nsfer prices. The trade effect makes the change of transfer pricing rules a
potential instrument of protectionism and strategic trade policy. JEL clas
sification: F23, H87.