The argument for a "bare bones" base case

Authors
Citation
Ld. Smith, The argument for a "bare bones" base case, CIM BULL, 92(1031), 1999, pp. 143-150
Citations number
4
Categorie Soggetti
Geological Petroleum & Minig Engineering
Journal title
CIM BULLETIN
ISSN journal
03170926 → ACNP
Volume
92
Issue
1031
Year of publication
1999
Pages
143 - 150
Database
ISI
SICI code
0317-0926(199906)92:1031<143:TAFA"B>2.0.ZU;2-T
Abstract
This paper examines the concept of a "bare bones" base case in the economic evaluation of a mineral property. This is the case that the banks like to see, and the paper examines why. The expression "bare bones" refers to a ca sh flow evaluation based on constant metal prices, constant dollars, no inf lation, no debt no interest, on a project basis and after tax. The paper lo oks individually at the impact of the various assumptions that go into an e valuation, and shows how these can be combined to show an exciting result t hat may nor really exist. An example of an embellished case (the kind that one frequently sees when p rojects are being promoted) is developed and the cumulative impact is analy zed to show the actual project underneath. The paper also points out some a reas to watch for overly optimistic assumptions such as prices, margins, an d debt.