Ia. Aytac et al., The likely worldwide increase in erectile dysfunction between 1995 and 2025 and some possible policy consequences, BJU INT, 84(1), 1999, pp. 50-56
Objectives. To project the likely worldwide increase in the prevalence of e
rectile dysfunction (ED) over the next 25 years, and to identify and discus
s some possible health-policy consequences using the recent developments in
the UK as a case study.
Methods. Using the United Nations projected male population distributions b
y quinquennial age groups for 2025,the prevalence rates for ED were applied
from the Massachusetts Male Aging Study (MMAS) to calculate the likely inc
idence of ED. The MMAS has the advantage of being the first study to provid
e population-based rates rather than rates based on clinical samples. All t
he projections were age-adjusted.
Results. It is estimated that in 1995 there were over 152 million men world
wide who experienced ED; the projections for 2025 show a prevalence of appr
oximate to 322 million with ED, an increase of nearly 170 million men. The
largest projected increases were in the developing world, i.e. Africa, Asia
and South America.
Discussion. The likely worldwide increase in the prevalence of ED (associat
ed with rapidly ageing populations) combined with newly available and highl
y publicized medical treatments, will raise challenging policy issues in ne
arly all countries. Already underfunded national health systems will be con
fronted with unanticipated resource requests and challenges to existing gov
ernment funding priorities. The projected trends represent a serious challe
nge for healthcare policy makers to develop and implement policies to preve
nt or alleviate ED.