The timing and structure of sea surface temperature (SST) changes were inve
stigated using data from the continental shelf of the northwest African reg
ion and from coastal stations in Mauritania. Empirical Orthogonal Function
analysis of the data revealed differences between northern regions with per
manent upwelling, and southern regions where the upwelling is seasonal. It
is then hypothesized that shifts in the onset and duration of upwelling may
be occurring. Furthermore, the Mauritanian shelf area, a transition zone b
etween the northern and southern regions, appears to go through a series of
cooling and warming trends, which seem to be part of a long-term process a
ffecting the northwest African coast. In this regard. it is shown that ther
e is a strong relationship between SST at 18-20 degrees N latitude and the
Coastal Upwelling Index computed at a coastal station. This approach may al
low for adequate predictions of oceanographic processes over the Mauritania
n shelf, and probably the northwest African region, from coastal stations,
as has been proven in other upwelling systems such as the California system
. (C) Elsevier, Paris / Ifremer / Cnrs / Ird.