We evaluated the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), the sponta
neous reporting system for vaccine-associated adverse events in the United
Slates, as a public health surveillance system, using evaluation guidelines
from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. We found that VAERS i
s simple for reporters to use, flexible by design and its data are availabl
e in a timely fashion. The predictive value positive for one severe event i
s known to be high, but for most events is unknown. The acceptability, sens
itivity and representativeness of VAERS are unknown, The study of vaccine s
afety is complicated by underreporting, erroneous reporting, frequent multi
ple exposures and multiple outcomes. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rig
hts reserved.