M. Mustafa et M. Rahman, Excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials: evidence from bivariate cointegration analysis, APPL ECON L, 6(6), 1999, pp. 333-336
This paper seeks to explore the possible long-run causal connection between
the excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials
(differences between the federal funds rates and discount rates) within th
e well-known bivariate cointegration framework. It uses monthly data from F
ebruary 1984 through March 1992. Each time series is nonstationary and reve
als I(1) behaviour. There is evidence of a long-run equilibrium relation be
tween the two variables. The estimates of the error-correction models revea
l a unidirectional long-run causality flowing from the short-term interest
rate differentials to the excess US bank reserves.