V. Latora et al., Identifying seismicity patterns leading flank eruptions at Mt. Etna Volcano during 1981-1996, GEOPHYS R L, 26(14), 1999, pp. 2105-2108
Seismicity time properties of the Etna Volcano (Italy) are investigated thr
ough a systematic pattern recognition analysis. Mean Hypothesis Testing (MH
T) has been applied to a long time database of instrumental data recorded f
rom 1981 to 1996 to identify relevant correlation among seismic patterns, m
ain seismogenic volumes and the eight flank eruptions occured in the same p
eriod. Time evolution of the test statistic (T-Ratio), calculated on a temp
oral window starting 75 days prior to a volcanic eruption and extending 25
days after, reveals that there is a pattern of seismic activity prior to th
e eruptions that can be used as a diagnostic tool as well as a physical mod
eling support in eruption forecasting.