A theoretical analysis of the initiation of sediment suspension is performe
d based on the concept of probability of suspension. The proposed condition
for the initiation of sediment suspension from the top of the bed-load lay
er is comparable with most existing empirical relationships for large parti
cle Reynolds numbers. The study shows that a constant Rouse parameter can b
e used as the critical condition for sediment suspension only for large dim
ensionless particle diameters. When the probability of suspension is taken
to be an infinitesimal value (P = 10(-7)), the derived relationship of the
Shields parameter and the particle Reynolds number is in good agreement wit
h the updated Shields diagram.