Although recent guidelines for managing chronic obstructive pulmonary disea
se (COPD) recommend a trial of oral corticosteroids in the initial assessme
nt, its prognostic value remains unclear. We prospectively studied 127 adul
ts (64% men) with stable COPD (FEV1/FVC <60%) over 1 year. At entry, we mea
sured lung volumes, gas transfer factor, respiratory symptoms (by questionn
aire), and peripheral blood eosinophil count. Skin-prick testing was done,
and spirometry after nebulized 5 mg salbutamol and, after 2 weeks, oral pre
dnisolone. Physician A gave all patients inhaled beclomethasone dipropionat
e (800 mcg/day), whereas physician B prescribed this only to those with a p
ositive oral corticosteroid trial. At 1 year, spirometry and respiratory qu
estionnaire were repeated, with an estimate of overall symptom severity on
a visual analogue scale. Followup data were available in 104 (82%) patients
. Of these, 32 (31%) were unresponsive to salbutamol and prednisolone; 48 (
46%) were responsive to beta agonists but not to corticosteroids, and 24 (2
3%) responded to corticosteroids and salbutamol. Patients in all groups wer
e comparable, except that the prednisolone responders had a higher mean eos
inophil count (p<0.001) and more were ex-smokers (p<0.001). Only the respon
se to oral prednisolone correlated with the change in prebronchodilator FEV
1 over 1 year. Oral prednisolone responders had higher FEV1 at 1 year (p<0.
02) and significantly lower symptom scores (p<0.02). In COPD, corticosteroi
d trials contribute information additional to that gained from nebulized br
onchodilator reversibility testing. Patients with a positive response to a
corticosteroid trial are more likely to have improved symptomatically and s
pirometrically at 1 year.