A water quality model, WASP, was applied to simulate and evaluate the mecha
nistic relationships between external nutrient loading and water quality of
Tampa Bay, U.S.A. The model quantifies processes governing internal nutrie
nt cycling and phytoplankton growth. It estimates the impact of nutrient lo
ads on water clarity, a pivotal water quality parameter for seagrass meadow
s. The model estimates impacts over long time periods and large areas, usin
g tidally-averaged modelling: tidally-averaged impacts were described by di
spersion coefficients, calibrated with 1985-1994 salinities. These coeffici
ents and monthly freshwater inflows were used to simulate both salinity and
eight water quality variables. They involved four interacting systems: dis
solved oxygen, phytoplankton, nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations. Model
results were compared with monthly measurements and yearly-averaged estima
tes for 1985-1994. Tampa Bay was phosphorus enriched and nitrogen limited f
or algal growth. A component analysis indicated that the internal nutrient
cycling and transport exceeded external loadings (external inputs from the
watershed are the ultimate source of nitrogen). Cycling of nitrogen was gov
erned primarily by phytoplankton, including growth, death and mineralizatio
n of organic-N. (C) 1999 Academic Press.