A vertical two-dimensional numerical model was developed to simulate water
quality processes in branched estuarine systems. The model consists of hydr
odynamic and water quality submodels. The model was applied to the Tanshui
estuarine system of northern Taiwan, and calibrated and verified using fiel
d data collected from 1994 to 1996. Favorable model calibration and verific
ation results were obtained. After calibration and verification, the model
was used to predict future water quality conditions under various hydrologi
cal conditions as the result of the Tanshui River estuarine system clean-up
project which is being implemented. Due to the clean-up project by the int
erception of a large amount of wastewater to the ocean outfall system, the
freshwater flow in the estuarine system will decrease. On the basis of the
model prediction the daily minimum dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration in t
he Tanshui River-Tahan Stream and Keelung River will not meet the water qua
lity standard under low freshwater flow condition and 60% wastewater reduct
ion. If wastewater reduction is up to 90% under low freshwater flow, the da
ily minimum DO concentration of three tributaries should meet the water qua
lity standard(DO > 1 mg/l).