Objective: To find out which prognostic factors were important in predictin
g postoperative mortality and length of hospital stay in patients with perf
orated peptic ulcers.
Design: Retrospective study.
Setting: Teaching hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Subjects: 246 patients with perforated peptic ulcer who presented between J
anuary 1974 and December 1992.
Intervention: Cox proportional hazards analysis.
Main outcome measures: Influence of age, sex, coexisting disease, duration
of symptoms, site of perforation and operative technique on mortality and l
ength of hospital stay.
Results: Age over 75 years (p = 0.002), coexisting cardiac or pulmonary dis
ease (p = 0.02), perforation of the cardia or body of the stomach (p = 0.02
), lapse of more than 12 hours between start of symptoms and operation (p =
0.006) and type of operation (p < 0.0001) had a significant influence on h
ospital mortality. Age over 75 years (p < 0.0001) and lapse of mon than 12
hours between start of symptoms and operation (p = 0.03) significant influe
nced the likelihood of a prolonged stay in hospital.
Conclusion: Patients with perforated peptic ulcers should be operated on as
soon as possible. Simple closure is simple and safe with relatively low mo
rtality and short stay in hospital.